- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 65-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-58 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-9, 4.23 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 5-4, 3.39 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 10 -120 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | U 10 +100 | -135 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+30.80 Units / 123% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 away games (+15.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+28.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+20.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+22.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 58 away games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 58 away games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 122 games (+9.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 62 of their last 122 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 115 games (+16.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 109 games (+11.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 49 games (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 57-65 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -10.02% ROI).
- 65-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 1.17% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -13.28% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-58 against the Run Line (+16.75 Units / 11.68% ROI).
- 72-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 68-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.15 Units / 14.23% ROI
- 45-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.15 Units / -22.15% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (46/145) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (72/178) against Kutter Crawford with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (135/393) against Kutter Crawford this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.469 (81 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Albert Suarez when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — 92nd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 75% of Albert Suarez’s pitches in the zone (536/711) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Albert Suarez in his last two starts — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .245 (12-for-49) against Albert Suarez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 91st Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 28-115 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Red Sox are just 53-178 (.229) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Red Sox are 22-14 (.611) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Red Sox are 53-10 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 57-46 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 33-41 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Orioles are 87-28 (.757) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 398 strikeouts in 1,428 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .261 with two outs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Red Sox hitters have 766 strikeouts in 3,006 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,136 strikeouts in 4,553 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,504 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Orioles hitters are slugging .450 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Orioles hitters are slugging .452 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,975 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 174 of 2,535 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 69 of 1,100 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 14 of 130 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
