- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 28-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 28-25 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-3, 2.89 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 4-2, 2.62 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -120 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 +100 | -190 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+16.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 away games (+14.85 Units / 93% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games at home (+26.80 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+17.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+14.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.60 Units / 62% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-30 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -12.97% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.15% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -20.7% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 13.22% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 28-25 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 11.27% ROI).
- 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 8.21% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 11.12% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -18.83% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (17/66) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (62/178) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (4 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 96th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (69 Total Bases / 242 ABs) on fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .449 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (40/57) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (364/555) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (208/319) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (50/78) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 3-163 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 82-7 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Red Sox are 86-5 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Red Sox are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 45-24 (.652) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 156 strikeouts in 544 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox are batting .270 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,669 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .482 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .813 (598 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,299 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Orioles are 47-22 (.681) against the run line (30.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 30 of 493 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 144 of 2,042 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 135 of 1,928 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 230 of 3,376 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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