- The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
- Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NESN | BSSW | ESPN+
The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 57-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 48-61 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 6-8, 3.62 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 3-5, 3.11 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -105 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+24.70 Units / 154% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+15.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.95 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 30 games (+22.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+18.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.30 Units / 112% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 49 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 away games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 55 of their last 107 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+19.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 50-57 against the Run Line (-14.5 Units / -10.21% ROI).
- 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.64% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7.64% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 48-61 against the Run Line (-20.4 Units / -14.41% ROI).
- 52-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 46-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.7 Units / -14.74% ROI
- 58-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 6.34% ROI
Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (124/348) against Kutter Crawford this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.105 (63 Total Bases / 57 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .609 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (40/128) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (633/920) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are 49-10 (.831) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Red Sox are 108-8 (.931) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Red Sox are 105-10 (.913) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Red Sox are just 53-172 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 3-25 (.107) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Rangers are just 4-38 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Rangers are just 9-174 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 5-99 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 354 strikeouts in 1,249 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,742 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .498 (295 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rangers are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 163 of 2,401 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 292 of 4,076 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.55 (1969.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.53 (1234.0 IP) at home since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 365 of 4,051 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 958 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have allowed 3.38 runs per game (176/52) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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