- The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | BSDT
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 70-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 72-64 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-9, 4.60 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 15-4, 2.58 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +120 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 37 games (+29.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 63 away games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+15.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 135 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 62-73 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 70-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.13% ROI
- 70-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.36% ROI
- 58-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.4 Units / -12.51% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 72-64 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 0.79% ROI).
- 68-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.32% ROI
- 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.4% ROI
- 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -10.13% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .719 (474 Total Bases / 659 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has struck out 32% (67/212) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .126 (75-for-594) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 97th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .176 (632 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (21 Total Bases / 140 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has 48 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 2 of 112 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (40 SO in 112 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 5-194 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 3-128 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 30-122 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Red Sox are just 18-19 (.486) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are 15-48 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Tigers are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
The Tigers are 11-50 (.180) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Tigers are just 45-12 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .439 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,679 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Red Sox are batting .256 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (13,018 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (13,018 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (8,680 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (16,997 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 184 of 2,652 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Red Sox pitchers this month (27 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 376 of 5,158 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 340 of 4,084 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 359 of 5,027 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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