- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Monday, August 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Reds are 60-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-64 ATS.
Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 11-8, 4.22 ERA
Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -125 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+27.80 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 49 games (+48.10 Units / 98% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+13.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 106 games (+12.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 108 games (+9.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+8.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 away games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+19.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 69-55 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 4.97% ROI).
- 60-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -4.56% ROI
- 56-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -9.49% ROI
- 62-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-64 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -8.73% ROI).
- 58-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -9.41% ROI
- 66-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 4% ROI
- 55-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.85 Units / -13.07% ROI
Blue Jays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .165 (30-for-182) against Hunter Greene when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of just .282 (70 Total Bases / 248 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 — 100th Percentile.
57% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (93-for-503) against Hunter Greene this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,023/1,353) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 12 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (475/905) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .278 (25-for-90) against Kevin Gausman’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .205 — sixth Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Reds are just 31-35 (.470) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 62-57 (.521) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Reds are just 3-46 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Blue Jays are just 11-58 (.159) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 479 strikeouts in 2,469 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 725 strikeouts in 3,708 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 235 walks in 2,469 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .744 (8,849 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 4 of 142 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Blue Jays pitchers this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Blue Jays vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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