- The Reds are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Reds are 61-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 61-65 ATS.
Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-6, 3.25 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-5, 3.93 ERA
Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -110 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -110 | -110 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+34.80 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 49 games (+48.10 Units / 98% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+11.05 Units / 65% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 108 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 111 games (+8.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 110 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 56 games (+21.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 125 games (+4.55 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games at home (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 70-56 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 4.3% ROI).
- 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 58-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 62-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.59% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 61-65 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -8.25% ROI).
- 59-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -9.56% ROI
- 68-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 5.39% ROI
- 55-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.15 Units / -14.51% ROI
Blue Jays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Blue Jays vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 10 of 393 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 2 of 103 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 5 of 198 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 5 of 198 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has walked 27 of 235 batters (12%) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 33% (6 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 8th best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (18/64) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 41% — sixth Percentile.
43 of Yariel Rodriguez’s 57 strikeouts (75%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 94th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Reds are just 31-35 (.470) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are 41-23 (.641) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Blue Jays are just 11-59 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .179 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 728 strikeouts in 3,715 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,893 strikeouts in 9,916 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .353 (594 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .741 (13,355 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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