Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Reds / Cardinals TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Reds are 70-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-71 ATS.

Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 0-1, 0.87 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-7, 4.04 ERA

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -200O 8 -110+110
Cardinals -1.5 +165U 8 -110-130

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+26.50 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+18.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.50 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 127 games (+13.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 130 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 81-64 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 4.95% ROI).

  • 70-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -3.72% ROI
  • 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.77% ROI
  • 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -2.55% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-71 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -3.76% ROI).

  • 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 68-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 69-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -3.93% ROI

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ty France (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Amed Rosario (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rhett Lowder has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Davidjohn Herz has the longest active streak at 20.0.

Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (14/26) against Rhett Lowder on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/44) against Rhett Lowder this month (1 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Rhett Lowder has struck out just 7% (1/15) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (212/276) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (580/870) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (41/276) against Andre Pallante since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 74% (321/434) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Reds are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 16-21 (.432) after a home loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Reds are 41-24 (.631) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Cardinals are 38-18 (.679) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Cardinals are just 14-123 (.102) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

Reds hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Reds are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (3,127 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Cardinals are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,567 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 367 of 4,154 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
  • Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.