- The Reds are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Reds vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Marlins TV Channel: BSOH | BSFL
The Cincinnati Reds (-130) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+110) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Reds are 54-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 53-60 ATS.
Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-4, 4.05 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-1, 3.86 ERA
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -130 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | +110 |
Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+14.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.65 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games at home (+30.50 Units / 127% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+18.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+17.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+17.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 94 games (+9.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 57 games at home (+21.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+7.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 62-50 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 4% ROI).
- 54-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -11% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.22% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 53-60 against the Run Line (-23.86 Units / -16.13% ROI).
- 42-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.6 Units / -13.09% ROI
- 61-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 6.26% ROI
- 49-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -13.9% ROI
Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo had an ERA of 12.71 (5.2 IP)in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 3.56 — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .400 (385 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (287/859) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of .914 (385 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .713 — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Meyer has limited playing time.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Reds are just 30-34 (.469) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Marlins are just 22-10 (.688) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Marlins are just 11-16 (.407) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Marlins are just 14-14 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .760.
The Marlins are just 3-4 (.429) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 351 of 3,859 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 221 of 2,432 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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