- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Reds vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Marlins TV Channel: BSOH | BSFL
The Cincinnati Reds (-135) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+115) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Reds are 55-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 53-61 ATS.
Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 9-8, 3.42 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 0-1, 4.20 ERA
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -135 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+15.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games at home (+29.50 Units / 118% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+18.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+18.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 97 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 98 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 58 games at home (+22.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+8.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 63-50 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 4.81% ROI).
- 55-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.4% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 53-61 against the Run Line (-25.36 Units / -16.97% ROI).
- 42-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -13.81% ROI
- 62-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 7% ROI
- 49-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -14.59% ROI
Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 24 of 198 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (27/120) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 41 of 394 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (90/278) against Andrew Abbott this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Valente Bellozo over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 7th best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .236 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (2/11) against Valente Bellozo in his last start — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .125 (2-for-16) against Valente Bellozo in his last start — tied for 13th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .234 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 14% (4/29) against Valente Bellozo in his last start — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Reds are just 30-34 (.469) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Marlins are just 14-14 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .762.
The Marlins are just 3-4 (.429) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Marlins are just 22-10 (.688) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Marlins are just 10-16 (.385) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .633.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .109 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .143 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Reds are batting just .227 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have drawn 175 walks in 2,869 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .617 (1,339 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .522 (437 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,869 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 351 of 3,868 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
