Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV | MLBN

The Colorado Rockies (+195) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 44-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 61-58 ATS.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 7-8, 4.59 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 6-6, 3.92 ERA

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -105O 8.5 -110+195
Diamondbacks -1.5 -115U 8.5 -110-250

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 36 games (+37.80 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+42.70 Units / 213% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+19.60 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+18.85 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+17.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+4.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 62 games (+19.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 60-59 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -7.87% ROI).

  • 44-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.01% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -7.03% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 61-58 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -1.77% ROI).

  • 66-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 6.3% ROI
  • 65-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 6.33% ROI
  • 51-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.35 Units / -15.64% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 7.5 +135 7.5 -175

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 59% (657/1,117) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (48/239) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 16% (33 SO in 201 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 20% (72/370) against Cal Quantrill this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .183 vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 95th Percentile and .292 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (398/555) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 207 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .224 (277 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 72-30 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 73-43 (.629) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Rockies are just 87-13 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are 16-12 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Diamondbacks are 20-14 (.588) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Diamondbacks are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 37% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,973 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.7 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.

The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in 63% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .598 against RHP this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
  • Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.