Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

Arizona Diamondbacks designated hitter Lourdes Gurriel Jr. bats during the third inning of a baseball game, Saturday, June 10, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Diamondbacks are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV | ESPN+

The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-210) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 44-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 61-59 ATS.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 3-8, 4.98 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 1-0, 4.77 ERA

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -125O 8.5 +100+170
Diamondbacks -1.5 +105U 8.5 -120-210

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 23 away games (+31.85 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 21 games (+41.70 Units / 199% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+17.85 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+17.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 away games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+20.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 64 games (+19.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 61-59 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -6.98% ROI).

  • 44-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -7.31% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.99% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -6.97% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 61-59 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -2.66% ROI).

  • 67-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 6.85% ROI
  • 65-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 6.29% ROI
  • 51-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.35 Units / -15.49% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Diamondbacks vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Kevin Newman (ARI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Austin Gomber (COL) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .820 (41 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — first Percentile.

16 of Austin Gomber’s 52 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .501 (186 Total Bases / 371 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Austin Gomber with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 399.0

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.19 (60.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 4.13 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (26-for-143) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Rockies are just 72-30 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 11-30 (.268) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are 16-12 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Diamondbacks are 5-44 (.102) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Diamondbacks are 9-110 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .276 (557 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 408.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.0.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .953 (518 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .568 against RHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .576 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
  • Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.