- The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: ROTV | DBTV
The Colorado Rockies () visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 2-0 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | O | ||
| Diamondbacks | U |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s game with 58.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 11 away games (+11.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 82% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 85.11% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 42.55% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (249 Total Bases / 388 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (144 Total Bases / 218 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .456 — third Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .977 (204 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .358 (139-for-388) against Austin Gomber’s fastball since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .263 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry had a strike rate of just 62% (218/352) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (90/276) against Tommy Henry in the 2023 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (24/102) against Tommy Henry on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has walked 45 of 451 right-handed batters (10%) since last season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 136-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 120-21 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-36 (.613) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 916 times in 4,427 PA’s (21%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Diamondbacks batted .279 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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