- The Marlins are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-145) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rockies are 7-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-22 ATS.
Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 0-4, 6.57 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 0-0, 3.60 ERA
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -115 | +120 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+14.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 75% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+3.14 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 13-16 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -15.6% ROI).
- 7-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -37.37% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -11.35% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.44% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-22 against the Run Line (-17.71 Units / -44.54% ROI).
- 7-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -52.65% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 5.12% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -13.22% ROI
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gordon (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Gordon (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 12% (55 SO in 446 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .647 (11-for-17) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .335 — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (139 SO in 1,066 PAs) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has walked 57 of 446 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 48-29 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Rockies are just 46-23 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 108-29 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Marlins are just 57-15 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are 18-71 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.8.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,158 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .367 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 17% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 129 of 1,238 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 444.9
The average home run distance against the Marlins pitchers since last season is 403.0 feet — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 398.8
Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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