- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Padres starting pitcher: Nicholas Martinez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-190) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-1 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -120 | +155 |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | U 8 +100 | -190 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -120 |
| Nick Martinez | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 163 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 82 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games at home (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 83.33% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Freeland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (279/503) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Hitters chased just 49 of Kyle Freeland’s 266 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
27 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez allowed a slugging percentage of .780 (32 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away in 2022 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .349 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 22% (94/431) against Nick Martinez in 2022 — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — sixth Percentile.
Nick Martinez has a first-pitch strike rate of 66% (301/459) since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — 95th Percentile.
Nick Martinez struck out just 17% (41/242) of right-handed batters he faced in 2022 — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 13-28 (.317) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies were just 41-24 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 53-108 (.329) on the road since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Rockies were just 33-31 (.516) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres were 30-12 (.714) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Padres are just 15-121 (.110) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Padres were 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres are just 7-130 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have drawn 836 walks in 8,809 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of just .672 (2,955 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Padres hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 247 of 2,831 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers last season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres pitchers won 39% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adam Engel (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Toe, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
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