- The Pirates are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rockies / Pirates TV Channel: ROTV | MLBN | SNPT
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-210) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rockies are 8-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 16-17 ATS.
Rockies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-2, 4.50 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-3, 3.21 ERA
Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 7 -105 | +170 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +100 | U 7 -115 | -210 |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+10.30 Units / 147% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 15-17 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -12.86% ROI).
- 8-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -35.05% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -13.51% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 4.83% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.74 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 14-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -16.42% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -21.19% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.03 Units / 13.96% ROI
Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Taylor (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Pirates vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — fourth Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 31% (22 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (16/106) against Austin Gomber this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 76% (113/148) in two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (352/487) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (105/280) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 38% (81/212) against Jared Jones this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 47-23 (.671) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 52-127 (.291) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 24-24 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Pirates are just 27-41 (.397) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 110-27 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Pirates are just 145-176 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.8.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .307 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .605 (928 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,287 of 13,742 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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