- The Tigers are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-190) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rockies are 54-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 77-68 ATS.
Rockies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-5, 7.64 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-6, 4.29 ERA
Rockies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -110 | +155 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -110 | -190 |
Rockies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 34 games (+16.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+15.90 Units / 145% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+14.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 109 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 58 games (+19.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 60 games (+15.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 71-74 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -8.94% ROI).
- 54-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -5.1% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -7.08% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.86% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 77-68 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.15% ROI).
- 74-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 1.37% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.45% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -9.12% ROI
Tigers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Gordon has limited playing time.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (14 Total Bases / 22 ABs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (61/128) against Casey Mize with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 36% — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 30% (64 SO in 213 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 46 of Casey Mize’s 213 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rockies are just 29-27 (.518) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 118-69 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 6-10 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Rockies are just 96-14 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Tigers are 25-1 (.962) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are 35-4 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,794 PA’s) on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (17,351 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (8,926 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,264 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1363.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 24 of 438 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 376 of 5,355 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this month (8 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Tigers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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