- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Angels
- Royals vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Angels TV Channel: BSKC | BSW
The Kansas City Royals (-120) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Royals are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 20-20 ATS.
Royals vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 5-1, 1.72 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 2-5, 4.85 ERA
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -105 | -120 |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -115 | +100 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+17.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games at home (+30.70 Units / 236% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 25-16 against the Run Line (+6.49 Units / 11.42% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 16.89% ROI
- 15-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -23.5% ROI
- 23-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 14.94% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 20-20 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -15.36% ROI).
- 15-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -18.3% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -13.97% ROI
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sandoval (LAA) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/48) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 15% (11 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 15% (11 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (66/328) against Seth Lugo this season — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
4 of Patrick Sandoval’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (97/173) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 43 of 324 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 17 of 173 batters (10%) this season — 10th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 19th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 20-14 (.588) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Royals are just 20-45 (.308) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Royals are just 12-15 (.444) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
keys to the game – home
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,629 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .232 (354 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Royals are batting just .183 when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 189 of 1,787 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 311 of 3,227 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 782 of 7,807 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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