- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Royals are 75-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 68-67 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 10-8, 3.28 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 6-9, 4.40 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -110 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -110 | -135 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+22.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+9.99 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 118 games (+20.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+15.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-60 against the Run Line (+6.39 Units / 3.48% ROI).
- 75-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 5.87% ROI
- 63-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 68-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.27% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 68-67 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.6% ROI).
- 73-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -3.45% ROI
- 53-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.1 Units / -21.76% ROI
- 78-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.35 Units / 12.93% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .538 (14 GB hits out of 26 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (373/1,096) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has walked 8 of 45 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .426 (20 GB hits out of 47 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .276 (62-for-225) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 11th Percentile.
The last hit on a Yusei Kikuchi breaking pitch was August 19th. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — tied with Aaron Ashby for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .434 (33-for-76) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — third Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 46% (130/283) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Royals are just 43-45 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 4-43 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Astros are 191-27 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,483 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .258 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have drawn 580 walks in 8,263 PA’s (7%) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals are batting .182 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (791/5,104 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (2020.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.0
Astros vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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