- The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Royals are 85-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 73-84 ATS.
Royals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-12, 3.73 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 10-10, 3.43 ERA
Royals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -120 | +150 |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 +100 | -185 |
Royals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+20.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+16.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+12.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.25 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 41 games (+22.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 37 games (+21.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+14.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 155 games (+8.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 90 of their last 143 games (+36.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 87-72 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.13% ROI).
- 85-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 69-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.05 Units / -13.33% ROI
- 84-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 4.23% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 73-84 against the Run Line (-14.9 Units / -7.8% ROI).
- 86-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 58-93 when betting on the total runs Over for -43.25 Units / -25.23% ROI
- 93-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +29 Units / 16.65% ROI
Braves vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yuli Gurriel (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (451/789) with two-strikes this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 44% of the time (715/1,618) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (451/789) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 47% of the time (1,079/2,315) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (276/464) against Max Fried this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (112/179) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (97 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 90.1
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .203 (16 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Royals are just 14-77 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals are just 4-49 (.075) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 25-106 (.191) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 67-67 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Braves are 37-87 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Braves are 54-69 (.439) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Braves are 80-144 (.357) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Braves are 85-39 (.685) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,908 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have just 839 strikeouts in 4,418 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have just 1,125 strikeouts in 5,887 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .460 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (913/12,142) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .677 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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