- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+105) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 72-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 64-66 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 10-8, 3.31 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Nick Sandlin 7-0, 3.81 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -130 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -125 | +105 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+21.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 44 games (+17.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 45 games (+26.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 62% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 126 games (+11.24 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 57 games at home (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 73-57 against the Run Line (+7.64 Units / 4.37% ROI).
- 72-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -7.86% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.02% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 64-66 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 75-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.22 Units / 7.39% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.26% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -6.52% ROI
Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (411/1,253) against Cole Ragans this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (157/497) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .538 (14 GB hits out of 26 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .177 (38-for-215) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (35/233) against Nick Sandlin since the 2022 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (3-for-17) against Nick Sandlin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .313 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .189 (99-for-524) against Nick Sandlin since the 2022 season — 14th best among among 157 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 91st Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .178 (24-for-135) against Nick Sandlin since last season — tied for 13th best among among 148 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are 26-39 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 26-114 (.186) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 40-21 (.656) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Guardians are just 2-48 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Guardians are 25-11 (.694) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Guardians are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,256 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .263 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have just 675 strikeouts in 3,659 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 882 strikeouts in 4,815 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,237 strikeouts in 12,153 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,442 strikeouts in 7,569 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 91% of their games this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Guardians have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Guardians vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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