- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 75-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 65-68 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 11-6, 3.34 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 10-6, 3.48 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +125 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -150 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 47 games (+19.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 48 games (+23.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+20.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+12.24 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games at home (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 60 games at home (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-58 against the Run Line (+8.64 Units / 4.83% ROI).
- 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 7.75% ROI
- 61-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 67-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.38% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 65-68 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.78% ROI).
- 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.22 Units / 4.86% ROI
- 64-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.1% ROI
- 62-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -5.76% ROI
Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .183 (35-for-191) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 92nd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (898/1,878) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (611/1,280) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .309 (59 Total Bases / 191 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 87th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .397 (27-for-68) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 15th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 32% (71 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (132/374) against Tanner Bibee this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .440 (91 Total Bases / 207 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 17th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are 27-39 (.409) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 43-44 (.494) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Guardians are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Guardians are 22-26 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 211 strikeouts in 1,203 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 901 strikeouts in 4,936 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,249 strikeouts in 12,216 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 81% of their games this month (26 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Guardians vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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