- The Tigers are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSKC | BSDT
The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-155) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 17-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 11-16 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-2, 3.81 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 3-0, 1.82 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -115 | +130 |
Tigers | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -105 | -155 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+12.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.95 Units / 100% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mark Canha has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 67% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 18-10 against the Run Line (+5.04 Units / 12.62% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 24.65% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 20.54% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-16 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -16.09% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 7.79% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -8.44% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of .465 (43 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (53/113) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 95th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .071 (3 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .133 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Royals are just 18-45 (.286) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Royals are just 54-119 (.312) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 22-11 (.667) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 41-53 (.436) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Tigers are just 77-98 (.440) at home since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,369 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .261 (613 PA’s) with bases empty this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,863 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,863 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (575.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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