- The Royals are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 62-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 56-56 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 8-6, 3.61 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+18.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+12.70 Units / 317% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+25.50 Units / 425% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 108 games (+11.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+14.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 64-48 against the Run Line (+7.64 Units / 5.03% ROI).
- 62-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 6.63% ROI
- 48-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.65 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 60-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.54% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 56-56 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- 53-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -6.85% ROI
- 60-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 8.45% ROI
- 45-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.05 Units / -17.56% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (15 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (570/1,174) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (234/476) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of 1.474 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .706 — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (24/70) against Alex Faedo this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .059 (1 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (72/216) against Alex Faedo this season — tied for 14th best among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 87th Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed an OPS of .906 (109 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .680 — sixth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 23-99 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 40-42 (.488) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .620.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 9-16 (.360) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Tigers are 24-3 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .761.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are 24-4 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,976 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .993 (1,869 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (12,283 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .284 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 291 of 4,166 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 767 of 10,239 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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