- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 65-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 57-60 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 8-7, 3.03 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 10-8, 4.79 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -120 | +135 |
| Twins | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 +100 | -160 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+20.60 Units / 206% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+19.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 17 games (+22.50 Units / 132% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 114 games (+10.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games at home (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 97 games (+7.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 66-52 against the Run Line (+6.84 Units / 4.33% ROI).
- 65-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 53-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -10.73% ROI
- 61-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 1.82% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 57-60 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -3.28% ROI).
- 65-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.6% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 3.3% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -11.91% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has allowed a just .249 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .493 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Brady Singer when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .173 (39-for-225) against Brady Singer this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (343/604) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (10-for-78) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 207 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (222/619) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 29% (145 SO in 494 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 23-100 (.187) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are 24-35 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Royals are just 41-43 (.488) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 30-56 (.349) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 53-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 16-35 (.314) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Twins are 47-32 (.595) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Twins are 38-27 (.585) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,014 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have just 175 strikeouts in 989 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .796 (2,142 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,369 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Twins hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 14 total hits (79%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Twins have scored 198 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (318.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 305 of 4,323 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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