- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Royals are 79-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 75-68 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-10, 3.36 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 14-9, 4.08 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+23.00 Units / 209% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+22.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+21.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 43 games (+15.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.45 Units / 42% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 140 games (+9.74 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 86 games (+22.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 80-64 against the Run Line (+6.14 Units / 3.16% ROI).
- 79-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 5.6% ROI
- 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -10.9% ROI
- 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 1.86% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 75-68 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 5.69% ROI).
- 82-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 78-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 6.52% ROI
- 61-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.55 Units / -15.66% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (410/726) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 58% of the time (385/665) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 96th Percentile.
Brady Singer had a first-pitch strike rate of just 38% (9/24) in his last start — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .265 (125-for-471) against Brady Singer when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 11th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.85 (44.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.60 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (135/412) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (108/339) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 28% (70 SO in 252 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 87th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are 30-45 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Royals are just 14-75 (.157) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 69-4 (.945) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Yankees are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 118-36 (.766) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have just 989 strikeouts in 5,315 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 4,042 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 193 walks in 1,617 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 467 walks in 4,334 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 697 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 305 walks in 2,785 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have walked 7 of 203 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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