- The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Detroit Tigers (+195) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Wednesday, September 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Tigers vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 70-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 85-65 ATS.
Tigers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 +100 | O 8 +100 | +195 |
Dodgers | -1.5 -120 | U 8 -120 | -250 |
Tigers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 82.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 42 games (+17.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Clayton Kershaw has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 89% ROI)
Dodgers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Max Muncy | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Jason Heyward | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Dodgers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Jason Heyward | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Will Smith | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Dodgers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Max Muncy | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Jason Heyward | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Will Smith | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Miller | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
Reese Olson | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 away games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 away games (+15.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 73 away games (+13.22 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.49 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 124 games (+27.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 130 games (+25.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+20.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+6.59 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.53 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 79-72 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -1.91% ROI).
- 70-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -3.1% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 85-65 against the Run Line (+23.65 Units / 13.2% ROI).
- 93-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.46% ROI
- 86-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +23.25 Units / 14.05% ROI
- 57-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.9 Units / -22.4% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 22nd — Edward Cabrera has the longest active streak at 6.
Michael Kopech walked 18 of 90 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech allowed a BABIP of .183 against right-handed batters in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (61/329) versus Michael Kopech in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed a .583 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .282 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 22nd — the longest active streak is 9.
Bobby Miller has allowed a .583 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for 14th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .282 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (10th best among non-qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Tigers are just 16-58 (.216) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Tigers are just 11-34 (.244) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Tigers are just 20-124 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are 19-8 (.704) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Dodgers are 180-27 (.870) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Dodgers are 39-16 (.709) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 80-7 (.920) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Dodgers are 20-79 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .612 (1,849 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Dodgers went OVER in 60% of their games (24.3% ROI) after a loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,509 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .762 (1,885 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Dodgers hitters averaged 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,165 batted balls) in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Dodgers allowed 3.17 runs per game (513/162) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in 2022 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Wander Suero (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Gus Varland (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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