- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6 Runs
- Tigers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSDT | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Tigers are 54-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 50-64 ATS.
Tigers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 12-4, 2.58 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-7, 2.90 ERA
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +185 | O 6 -105 | +115 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -250 | U 6 -115 | -135 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+23.50 Units / 294% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.30 Units / 203% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+10.10 Units / 78% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 97 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+8.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+18.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games at home (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 58-56 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -2.8% ROI).
- 54-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -6.17% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 6.59% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -15.6% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 50-64 against the Run Line (-18.5 Units / -12.82% ROI).
- 59-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 48-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.5 Units / -15.72% ROI
- 62-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.25 Units / 7.41% ROI
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bligh Madris (DET) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -140 | 7.5 +105 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .213 (94 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .218 (197 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .123 (15-for-122) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has 43 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 12 of 484 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 207 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 21 of 700 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 11.3 (68/6) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.7 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 37-9 (.804) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Tigers are just 27-40 (.403) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are just 36-10 (.783) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Tigers are 11-42 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are just 5-17 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.
The Mariners are 105-19 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 57-7 (.891) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mariners are 37-4 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,354 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (12,354 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mariners hitters have 873 strikeouts in 3,091 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .198 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 324 of 3,886 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 23 of 454 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 295 of 4,237 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (529.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Mariners pitchers have walked 264 of 4,091 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
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