- The Pirates are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Pirates TV Channel: BSDT | SNP+
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Tigers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 8-2 ATS.
Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 0-1, 6.36 ERA
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 away games (+15.97 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -26.81% ROI).
- 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 12.41% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 50.36% ROI).
- 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 56.82% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 33.48% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI
Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| McCutchen | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Reynolds | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Baez | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Urshela | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 -3000 |
Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keller | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Olson | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were outside in the 2023 season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.
Reese Olson allowed a slugging percentage of just .308 (32 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 94th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 44% (31/70) against Reese Olson on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fourth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (18/43) against Mitch Keller this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .319 (15-for-47) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for 9th highest among in NL; League Avg: .255 — 18th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 71% (66/93) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 94th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (20 Total Bases / 30 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 12th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are 32-9 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are just 20-127 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 38-50 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are 38-8 (.826) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Pirates are just 26-39 (.400) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Pirates are just 138-161 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates were 34-8 (.810) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,293 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (12,293 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (12,293 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Pirates are batting just .155 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Pirates are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .093 against Tigers pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (492.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 68 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 53% against the Pirates pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.57 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Pirates vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
