Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The White Sox (39-41) are -250 favorites vs the Tigers (34-47)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (1-6), 4.54 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (7-3), 2.51 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-250) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 34-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-43 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 +100O 8 -115+200
White Sox -1.5 -120U 8 -105-250

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 40 games at home (+19.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jose Abreu 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Leury Garcia 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Leury Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Luis Robert 1.5 +145 1.5 -200

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jose Abreu 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Leury Garcia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 8.5 -135 8.5 -105
Beau Brieske 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+18.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 39-42 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -6.86% ROI).

  • 34-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -6.79% ROI
  • 28-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.4 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • 48-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 19.65% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -7.61% ROI).

  • 39-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -7.75% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.86% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -6.31% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/100) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (22/115) against Beau Brieske on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .302 (13-for-43) against Beau Brieske’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 14th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (67/363) against Beau Brieske in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has struck out 39% (76/196) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (7 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 21 of 196 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Dylan Cease on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Tigers are just 34-39 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .669.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The White Sox are 22-18 (.550) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The White Sox are 74-13 (.851) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,897 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .304 (49 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

The White Sox are batting .395 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .422 (246 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .199 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The White Sox have allowed 5.85 runs per game (234/40) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.73 (375.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.