Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The White Sox (39-41) are -250 favorites vs the Tigers (34-47)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (1-6), 4.54 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (7-3), 2.51 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-250) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 34-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-43 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 +100O 8 -115+200
White Sox -1.5 -120U 8 -105-250

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 40 games at home (+19.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jose Abreu 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Leury Garcia 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Leury Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Luis Robert 1.5 +145 1.5 -200

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jose Abreu 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Leury Garcia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 8.5 -135 8.5 -105
Beau Brieske 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+18.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 39-42 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -6.86% ROI).

  • 34-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -6.79% ROI
  • 28-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.4 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • 48-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 19.65% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -7.61% ROI).

  • 39-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -7.75% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.86% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -6.31% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/100) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (22/115) against Beau Brieske on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .302 (13-for-43) against Beau Brieske’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 14th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (67/363) against Beau Brieske in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has struck out 39% (76/196) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (7 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 21 of 196 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Dylan Cease on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Tigers are just 34-39 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .669.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The White Sox are 22-18 (.550) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The White Sox are 74-13 (.851) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,897 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .304 (49 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

The White Sox are batting .395 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .422 (246 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .199 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The White Sox have allowed 5.85 runs per game (234/40) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.73 (375.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.