- The White Sox (39-41) are -250 favorites vs the Tigers (34-47)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (1-6), 4.54 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (7-3), 2.51 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-250) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 34-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-43 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | +200 |
White Sox | -1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | -250 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 40 games at home (+19.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Leury Garcia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Vaughn | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Leury Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Luis Robert | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Leury Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dylan Cease | 8.5 -135 | 8.5 -105 |
Beau Brieske | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+18.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 39-42 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -6.86% ROI).
- 34-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -6.79% ROI
- 28-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.4 Units / -27.37% ROI
- 48-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 19.65% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -7.61% ROI).
- 39-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.86% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -6.31% ROI
Beau Brieske: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/100) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (22/115) against Beau Brieske on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (13-for-43) against Beau Brieske’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 14th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (67/363) against Beau Brieske in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has struck out 39% (76/196) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (7 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 21 of 196 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Dylan Cease on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 34-39 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Tigers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .669.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The White Sox are 22-18 (.550) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The White Sox are 74-13 (.851) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,897 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .304 (49 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The White Sox are batting .395 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .422 (246 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .199 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 5.85 runs per game (234/40) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.73 (375.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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