- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
- Twins vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rangers TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Twins are 70-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 55-69 ATS.
Twins vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 11-8, 4.71 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 0-1, 2.80 ERA
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+30.50 Units / 152% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games at home (+17.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 31 games (+15.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 103 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+19.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.10 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 61-62 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -1.6% ROI).
- 70-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 1.86% ROI
- 62-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.34% ROI
- 55-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -10.03% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 55-69 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -14.8% ROI).
- 56-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.1 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 54-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 64-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 3.48% ROI
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle (TEX) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .134 (11-for-82) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 216 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (124/358) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 50% (17 SO in 34 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Tyler Mahle breaking pitch was April 9th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Porter Hodge has the longest active streak at 26.
The last hit on a Tyler Mahle slider was April 9th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his slider. — Porter Hodge has the longest active streak at 26.
Tyler Mahle has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched — Ryan Pepiot has the longest active streak at 18.2.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Tyler Mahle versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .269 — 89th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 128-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 25-92 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 19-14 (.576) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Twins are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 8-95 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 10-182 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 6-107 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn 81 walks in 1,234 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,436 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Twins are batting just .195 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .170 against LHP this month (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,214/16,984 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,865 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 65 of 1,093 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 314 of 4,544 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Rangers pitchers have walked 422 of 4,655 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (536.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (555.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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