- The Twins are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Twins / White Sox TV Channel: BSNO | NSCH
The Minnesota Twins (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+155) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 51-39 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 42-50 ATS.
Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-7, 5.11 ERA
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -115 | -190 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -105 | +155 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-47 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -3.9% ROI).
- 51-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.67% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -8.86% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-50 against the Run Line (-13 Units / -11.68% ROI).
- 26-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -31 Units / -32.8% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -7.55% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.8% ROI
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (185 Total Bases / 295 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .444 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .943 (146 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .697 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (13/75) against Chris Flexen on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .705 (91 Total Bases / 129 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are 112-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 53-17 (.757) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Twins are 22-80 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 14-27 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 66-28 (.702) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 13-12 (.520) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The White Sox are just 74-11 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 70-54 (.565) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have drawn 53 walks in 838 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins have scored 1.86 runs per game (167/90) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.42.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .778 (1,081 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (4,940 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .455 (4,940 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,544 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,155 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 25 of 444 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 228 of 3,333 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (1084.0 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .302 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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