- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | BSNO | YES
The Minnesota Twins (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Twins are 33-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 35-26 ATS.
Twins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-3, 4.90 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 7-1, 1.99 ERA
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -110 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -185 |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+23.70 Units / 148% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.20 Units / 68% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+20.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+12.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.64 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+18.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 27 games (+17.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+16.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games (+15.29 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 61 games (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-31 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 3.76% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 35-26 against the Run Line (+13.15 Units / 17.71% ROI).
- 42-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 16.45% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -12.16% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 3.57% ROI
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,393/1,844) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .745 (38 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .364 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (18/67) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OBP of just .238 (181 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .070 (9-for-129) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (29-for-215) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .065 (3-for-46) against Luis Gil over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .109 (14 Total Bases / 129 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 18-30 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 99-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are 22-71 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are 167-4 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 54-53 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 63-8 (.887) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Yankees are 110-3 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (268 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 59 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters have 182 extra-base hits out of 452 total hits (40%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,710 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Yankees hitters are slugging .726 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .551.
Yankees hitters are slugging .464 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,905 of their 8,290 plate appearances (23%) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 144 of 2,185 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 587 of 8,213 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 21% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 63% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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