White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 7

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(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 07, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Royals are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-130) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the White Sox are 1-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-4 ATS.

White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-1, 1.39 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 1-0, 1.29 ERA

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -185O 9 +100+110
Royals -1.5 +150U 9 -120-130

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 2 away games (+2.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 17.62% ROI).

  • 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -68.13% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -41.76% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 33.92% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 5-4 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -4.08% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 11.72% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -25.84% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 21.28% ROI

Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Witt Jr. 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Fermin 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Sheets 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Garcia 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Benintendi 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Crochet 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
Marsh 5.5 +110 5.5 -150

Garrett Crochet has a first-pitch strike rate of 79% (38/48) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed an OPS of just .146 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .490 — 96th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) this season — tied for 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .968 (164 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .688 — fourth Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .893 (342 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .685 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .861 (118 Total Bases / 137 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .538 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (152 Total Bases / 290 ABs) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 52-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox are just 19-43 (.306) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The White Sox are just 11-22 (.333) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 11-85 (.115) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 7-44 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Royals are just 41-32 (.562) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

White Sox hitters have 20 strikeouts in 53 PA’s (38%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .189 (53 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals were just 0-1 (.000) against the run line (-100.0% ROI) after a win as favorites in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 69 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 16% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .136 against Royals pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.