Yankees vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 21

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(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 21, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Yankees vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Yankees / Athletics TV Channel: YES | NSCA | MLBN

The New York Yankees (-185) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Yankees are 90-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 83-71 ATS.

Yankees vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 15-9, 4.02 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 11-11, 4.29 ERA

Yankees vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -110O 7.5 -105-185
Athletics +1.5 -110U 7.5 -115+150

Yankees vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 43 games (+22.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+17.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 29 games (+23.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+18.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+17.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 away games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+11.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 away games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 68 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 80-74 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 5.29% ROI).

  • 90-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 80-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 69-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -11.04% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 83-71 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -1.24% ROI).

  • 67-87 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -9.15% ROI
  • 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.41% ROI

Athletics vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +170 0.5 -210
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Athletics vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Athletics vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -115 0.5 -110
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -105 0.5 -120
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon (NYY) 7.5 +100 7.5 -135
JP Sears (OAK) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.57 — second Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (365/954) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (121/363) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (69 Total Bases / 133 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — fourth Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 13% (19 SO in 151 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

JP Sears has walked 10 of 268 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (44 SO in 270 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of just .192 (19 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Yankees are 77-23 (.770) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .627.

The Yankees are 29-16 (.644) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Yankees are 88-47 (.652) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.

The Athletics are just 36-61 (.371) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Athletics are just 54-84 (.391) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Yankees hitters have drawn 206 walks in 1,694 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 363 walks in 3,473 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 480 walks in 4,411 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .223 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,589 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .300 (8,721 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers this season is 392.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.10 (2031.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

Athletics vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.