- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Cubs
- Yankees vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | YES
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+135) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Yankees are 82-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 69-73 ATS.
Yankees vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 6-3, 3.67 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 9-8, 3.69 ERA
Yankees vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -105 | -160 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -115 | +135 |
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+21.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+20.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 42 games (+16.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.70 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+24.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+23.00 Units / 135% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+20.20 Units / 71% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+19.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 85 games (+23.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 away games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 away games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 75-67 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 6.3% ROI).
- 82-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 78-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.55 Units / 7.37% ROI
- 60-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.6 Units / -16.43% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 69-73 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -8.77% ROI).
- 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.42% ROI
Cubs vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Cubs vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 29% (206 SO in 700 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .243 (210 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 99th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (700 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (135-for-653) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (23/280 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .432 (313 Total Bases / 724 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — eighth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 280 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 15 of 609 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 26-14 (.650) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 6-3 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are 26-7 (.788) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are just 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Cubs are 31-7 (.816) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 193 walks in 1,617 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 467 walks in 4,334 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 85 walks in 691 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are 12-2 (.857) against the run line (42.8% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .283 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting just .225 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .363 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 67 double plays in 985 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Cubs pitchers have walked 111 of 1,259 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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