Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 17

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Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 17, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | YES | ESPN+ | MLBN

The New York Yankees (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Yankees are 87-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 65-85 ATS.

Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 13-6, 3.19 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-2, 2.39 ERA

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +155O 7 -105-115
Mariners +1.5 -190U 7 -115-105

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+23.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+21.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+28.90 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 away games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.45 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 away games (+2.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+13.27 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+8.74 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 65 games at home (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 77-73 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 4.01% ROI).

  • 87-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -5.32% ROI
  • 79-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 3.56% ROI
  • 66-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -12.54% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 65-85 against the Run Line (-23.4 Units / -12.53% ROI).

  • 77-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.56 Units / -7.81% ROI
  • 68-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -6.97% ROI
  • 73-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.73 Units / -1.05% ROI

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Victor Robles (SEA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Woo (SEA) 5.5 -140 5.5 +110
Luis Gil (NYY) 6.5 -120 6.5 -110

Opponents are hitting just .137 (25-for-182) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 37% (16/43) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (89-for-488) against Luis Gil since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (84/297 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (1,052/1,464) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .223 (404 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has walked 10 of 404 batters (3%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .179 (66-for-369) against Bryan Woo since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Yankees are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .642.

The Yankees are 119-36 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are 198-14 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Mariners are 63-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Mariners are 177-27 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are 113-20 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

Yankees hitters have drawn 205 walks in 1,677 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 615 walks in 5,773 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 24 walks in 128 PA’s (19%) against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 479 walks in 4,394 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mariners are batting just .213 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.75 (683.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 1,206 of 17,348 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,344 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.