Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 17

Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | YES | ESPN+ | MLBN

The New York Yankees (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Yankees are 87-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 65-85 ATS.

Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 13-6, 3.19 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 8-2, 2.39 ERA

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +155O 7 -105-115
Mariners +1.5 -190U 7 -115-105

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+23.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+21.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+28.90 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 away games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.45 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 away games (+2.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+13.27 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+8.74 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 65 games at home (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 77-73 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 4.01% ROI).

  • 87-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -5.32% ROI
  • 79-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 3.56% ROI
  • 66-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -12.54% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 65-85 against the Run Line (-23.4 Units / -12.53% ROI).

  • 77-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.56 Units / -7.81% ROI
  • 68-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -6.97% ROI
  • 73-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.73 Units / -1.05% ROI

Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Victor Robles (SEA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Woo (SEA) 5.5 -140 5.5 +110
Luis Gil (NYY) 6.5 -120 6.5 -110

Opponents are hitting just .137 (25-for-182) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 37% (16/43) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (89-for-488) against Luis Gil since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (84/297 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (1,052/1,464) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .223 (404 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has walked 10 of 404 batters (3%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .179 (66-for-369) against Bryan Woo since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Yankees are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .642.

The Yankees are 119-36 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mariners are 198-14 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Mariners are 63-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Mariners are 177-27 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are 113-20 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

Yankees hitters have drawn 205 walks in 1,677 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 615 walks in 5,773 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 24 walks in 128 PA’s (19%) against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 479 walks in 4,394 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mariners are batting just .213 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.75 (683.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 1,206 of 17,348 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,344 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.