- The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
- Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | AMZP | ESPN+ | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Yankees are 88-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 65-86 ATS.
Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 9-10, 3.91 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 11-8, 3.14 ERA
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -115 | -120 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -105 | +100 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 40 games (+24.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+22.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.70 Units / 105% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+13.70 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 28 games (+33.50 Units / 120% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 away games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 away games (+3.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games at home (+7.64 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 66 games at home (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 78-73 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 4.87% ROI).
- 88-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -4.88% ROI
- 80-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 4.14% ROI
- 66-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.65 Units / -13.07% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 65-86 against the Run Line (-25.25 Units / -13.39% ROI).
- 77-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.66 Units / -8.31% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.73 Units / -1.65% ROI
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .852 (266 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (153/490) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (128/390) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .331 (117 Total Bases / 354 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .238 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (38/208) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has walked 11 of 302 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .235 (302 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 28-15 (.651) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Yankees are 77-23 (.770) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 46-10 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Yankees are 120-36 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 51-4 (.927) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Mariners are 116-17 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Mariners are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Mariners are 177-27 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 206 walks in 1,687 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 619 walks in 5,818 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 89 walks in 732 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .219 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .199 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .213 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers are throwing 4.03 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (1,341 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 168 of 2,796 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,210 of 17,393 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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