- The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Yankees vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Yankees are 78-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 74-58 ATS.
Yankees vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 5-2, 3.75 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 3-12, 5.76 ERA
Yankees vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -2.5 +115 | O 9 -120 | -250 |
| Nationals | +2.5 -140 | U 9 +100 | +200 |
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 70.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 32 games (+20.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+18.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+24.80 Units / 118% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+22.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+17.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 away games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 95% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+11.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.85 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 71-61 against the Run Line (+13.55 Units / 8.4% ROI).
- 78-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 72-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 6.9% ROI
- 56-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -23 Units / -15.87% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 74-58 against the Run Line (+7.48 Units / 4.34% ROI).
- 59-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.17 Units / -4.89% ROI
Nationals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .304 (193 Total Bases / 635 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 21.0 innings pitched — Raisel Iglesias has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (130-for-627) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 91st Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (108 Total Bases / 366 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .413 — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .312 (228-for-731) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .322 (145-for-451) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .307 (172-for-561) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .307 (146-for-476) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 26-12 (.684) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
The Yankees are 74-23 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 55-224 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 90-136 (.398) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,614 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees hitters have drawn 370 walks in 3,614 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (3,614 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 623 strikeouts in 3,308 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .956 (2,034 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
The Nationals are just 6-19 (.240) against the run line (-38.8% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .693 (5,255 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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