- The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Tigers
- Yankees vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Tigers TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-250) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+200) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Yankees are 73-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 65-58 ATS.
Yankees vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 13-7, 4.04 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 3-5, 5.80 ERA
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -2.5 +105 | O 9 -110 | -250 |
| Tigers | +2.5 -125 | U 9 -110 | +200 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+26.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+26.50 Units / 177% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 66 games (+23.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 away games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 64 away games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 away games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 64 away games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 36 games (+18.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 106 games (+8.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 65-58 against the Run Line (+11.55 Units / 7.74% ROI).
- 73-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.27% ROI
- 68-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.5 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 51-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.7 Units / -17.55% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 65-58 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 0.81% ROI).
- 59-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.18% ROI
- 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 3.64% ROI
- 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -12.35% ROI
Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -140 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -185 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.85 (44.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.73 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 46% (75 SO in 162 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .198 (38-for-192) against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 89th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (99/303) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (21/123) against Keider Montero this month (3 games) — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/72) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Keider Montero has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (53/71) this month (3 games) — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (98/396) against Keider Montero this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 29% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 25-11 (.694) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Yankees are 13-21 (.382) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Yankees are 73-49 (.598) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are just 40-11 (.784) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Tigers are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Tigers are 62-14 (.816) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Tigers are just 39-12 (.765) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 157 walks in 1,306 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 431 walks in 4,023 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .338 (3,453 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,645 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (8,307 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .655 (12,645 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
The Yankees have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 326 of 4,555 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 330 of 3,967 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
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