- The Bills are -4.5 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Buffalo Bills (10-2-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (6-6-0) on Dec. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Bills are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Bills vs. Rams Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Bills vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bills | -4.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -250 |
| Rams | +4.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +200 |
Bills vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bills will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bills vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
- Khalil Shakir has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- James Cook has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyren Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.68 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.46 Units / 36% ROI)
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills art 8-4 (+3.7 Units / 28.03% ROI).
- Bills are 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 32.73% ROI
- Bills are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 10.53% ROI
- Bills are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 5-7 (-2.65 Units / -20.23% ROI).
- Rams are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 6.29% ROI
- Rams are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI
- Rams are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.56% ROI
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Bills are 6-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-best in NFL. The Rams has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 28 s this season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Bills are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .556.
The Bills were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Bills are undefeated (4-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Rams were undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
The Rams are 6-1 (.857) when not losing a fumble this season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Rams were 2-4 (.333) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Rams were 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams have run successful plays on 57.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Bills have allowed successful plays on 54.7% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Rams TEs have just 34.7 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed an average ofjust 43.3 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Bills have scored on 48.8% of their drives this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Rams defense has allowed scores on 44% of opponent drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bills have been successful on 50.6% of plays they have run against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponents to be successful on 44.3% of plays with a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bills have run successful plays on 47.8% of rush attempts with motion this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed successful plays on 49.7% of rush attempts against motion this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills ran successful plays on 51% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bills went three and out on 12% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Bills went three and out on 10% of their drives in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Bills ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of plays against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Rams ran successful plays on 70% of rush attempts in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Rams have targeted WRs 71% of the time (701 Pass Attempts/993 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense have allowed -0.80 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bills defense has allowed successful plays on 10% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Bills defense have allowed -0.21 epa per play with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Bills defense has allowed a passer rating of just 18.9 with a light rush (19 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.3.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense has allowed opponents to catch just 52 of 111 passes (47% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 23.2 on 3rd and long (43 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 80.8.
The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (52 completions/122 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Rams defense has allowed 11 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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