- The Chargers are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Raiders vs. Chargers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +3 -105 | 40.5 -110 | +135 |
| Chargers | -3 -115 | 40.5 -110 | -160 |
Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 69.2% confidence.
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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Daniel Carlson has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Mayer has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Gus Edwards (LAC) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Davante Adams (LV) | 69.5 -145 | 69.5 +110 |
| Josh Palmer (LAC) | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
| Zamir White (LV) | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
| Jakobi Meyers (LV) | 38.5 -120 | 38.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Gus Edwards (LAC) | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -120 |
| Gardner Minshew (LV) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Zamir White (LV) | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
| J.K. Dobbins (LAC) | 33.5 -120 | 33.5 -110 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.90 Units / 83% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.75 Units / 140% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Raiders went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Raiders are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -82.46% ROI
- Raiders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Raiders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chargers went 1-2 (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -33.33% ROI
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Chargers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Raiders were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders were undefeated (6-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) when playing in cold weather last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers ran successful plays on 57.7% of rush attempts against a light front last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed successful plays on 59.1% of rush attempts with a light front last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Chargers averaged just -0.17 epa per play against a base front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed just -0.17 epa per play with a base front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers ran just 36.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed their opponents to runjust 33.2% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Raiders averaged 0.19 epa per play against a light front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 0.22 epa per play with a light front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Raiders RBs have averaged 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
Raiders RBs have averaged 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders averaged -0.20 epa per play in the 2nd half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
The Raiders averaged -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Raiders averaged -0.17 epa per play on the road last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Raiders were flagged 40 times on offense last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers ran successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Chargers started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 18 — T-most in NFL.
The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Chargers started 13 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half last season — most in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense allowed 6 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 18 — 2nd-most in NFL.
Only 7% of the plays ran against the Raiders were in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Raiders defense allowed a passer rating of 116.1 in the red zone (67 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Raiders defense has allowed first downs on 41% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense have allowed 34 TDs that were 20+ yards since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Chargers defense allowed 0.64 epa per play with a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Chargers defense allowed 17 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 23% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
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