Kent State vs W Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Western Michigan's Anthony Sambucci plays during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022, in Kalamazoo, Mich. (AP Photo/Al Goldis)
(AP Photo/Al Goldis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 22, 2024, 2:08 PM
  • The W Michigan is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
  • The Kent State vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Kent State Golden Flashes (0-7) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).

The Kent State vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+17.5 -11559.5 -110+600
Western Michigan -17.5 -10559.5 -110-900

Kent State vs Western Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 88.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 85.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • Kent State is 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kent State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Kent State is 1-15 (.062) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .624

Kent State is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .430

Kent State is winless (0-4) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Kent State is winless (0-15) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .374

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Western Michigan is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .540

Western Michigan is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Western Michigan is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .478

Western Michigan is 4-7 (.364) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .541

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Western Michigan

Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has gained 1,180 yards on 72 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (167 yards/74 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (181 yards / 76 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (58 yards / 28 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State Skill Players have averaged 24.4 yards per reception (195 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Western Michigan TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Western Michigan has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 12 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has forced one fumble on 320 carries this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.6

Kent State has allowed 27 TDs in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

Kent State has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Kent State has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has no interceptions (74 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Western Michigan has no interceptions (74 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.9

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 43 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (9 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: 53%

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 43 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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