- The Memphis is a -10.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
- The North Texas vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The North Texas Mean Green (5-1) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (5-1) on Oct. 19 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The North Texas vs. Memphis Over/Under is 66.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | +10.5 -110 | 66.5 -110 | +300 |
| Memphis | -10.5 -110 | 66.5 -110 | -375 |
North Texas vs Memphis Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Memphis Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Memphis vs North Texas and all games with BetMGM
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.51% ROI).
- North Texas is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 41.08% ROI
- North Texas is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- North Texas is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).
- Memphis is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.98% ROI
- Memphis is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Memphis is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .633
North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
North Texas is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
North Texas is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .601
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623
Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .615
Memphis is 11-4 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .457
Memphis is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Memphis
North Texas’s offense has averaged 3.3 passing TDs per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 0.3 passing TDs per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs have caught 18 touchdown passes this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas QBs have 17 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas RBs have averaged 6.4 Yards per Carry (2,903 yards/456 carries) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
North Texas WRs have caught 14 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas’s offense has averaged 3.3 passing TDs per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 0.3 passing TDs per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis TEs have been targeted 12 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs were targeted 5 times in the 1st quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
Memphis QBs have 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis TEs have 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has not forced a fumble (223 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 42.9
North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 767 carries (127.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.6
North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 767 carries (127.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7
North Texas has not forced a fumble (223 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.7
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 147.8
Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has allowed no passing TDs (10 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Memphis opponents has averaged 85.0 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 21.5
Memphis opponents has averaged 85.0 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6
Memphis has allowed 2 touchdowns on 102 completions (51.0 Completions Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
Memphis has allowed no passing TDs (10 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
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