- UNLV is a -20.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State vs. UNLV Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The San Diego State Aztecs (3-6) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Paradise, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).
The San Diego State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +20.5 -105 | 54.5 -110 | +825 |
| UNLV | -20.5 -115 | 54.5 -110 | -1400 |
San Diego State vs UNLV Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Napier has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marquez Cooper has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Louis Brown IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nate Bennett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ricky White III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -50% ROI
- San Diego State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- UNLV is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 21.67% ROI
- UNLV is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- UNLV is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
San Diego State is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .353
San Diego State is 4-11 (.267) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 25th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
San Diego State is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401
San Diego State is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .483
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
UNLV is 7-5 (.583) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
UNLV is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: .528
UNLV is 14-3 (.824) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. UNLV
UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 188 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s RBs have just 9.3 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Hajj-Malik Williams (UNLV) has averaged just 2.3 pass attempts per touchdown in the Red Zone this season — T-7th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 2.1 pass attempts per touchdown in the Red Zone this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has gained 83 yards on 15 receptions (just 5.5 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed just 6.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has 15 receptions in 9 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 23.8 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has rushed for 1,100 yards on 250 carries (just 4.4 YPC) this season — 27th-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 3.5 YPC this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (12 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State WRs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (195 yards/10 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
San Diego State’s RBs has gained 83 yards on 15 receptions (just 5.5 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed just 6.4 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 188 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV WRs averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
UNLV QBs have averaged 97.7 rushing yards per game (879/9) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 28.1
UNLV’s RBs have just 9.3 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV Skill Players have averaged 16.0 yards per reception (1,071 yards/67 catches) in the 1st half this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (643 yards / 70 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
San Diego State has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (643 yards / 70 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has forced 3 fumbles on 360 carries (120.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.7
San Diego State has allowed 8 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-4th-most in FBS
UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV defense has allowed 100 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UNLV’s opponents has attempted 40.9 passes per game this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.1
UNLV has allowed 100 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UNLV has allowed 100 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
UNLV’s opponents has attempted 40.9 passes per game this season– highest in FBS; Average: 30.5
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