- Texas State is a -1 point favorite vs. South Alabama
- Texas State vs. South Alabama Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (6-5) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (6-5) on Nov. 29 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Texas State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
Bet now on South Alabama vs Texas State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Texas State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | -1 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -115 |
| South Alabama | +1 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -105 |
Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and South Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 74.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on South Alabama vs Texas State and all games with BetMGM
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.15 Units / 10% ROI)
South Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Hobert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ismail Mahdi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan McCloud has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan McCloud has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ismail Mahdi has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Gio Lopez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kentrel Bullock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).
- Texas State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.15 Units / -26.51% ROI
- Texas State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI
- Texas State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI).
- South Alabama is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.42% ROI
- South Alabama is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- South Alabama is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama
Texas State is 8-3 (.727) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .598
Texas State is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .641
Texas State is 8-5 (.615) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .471
Texas State is 11-5 (.688) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
South Alabama is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381
South Alabama is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
South Alabama is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
South Alabama is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .283
Matchup Notes for Texas State vs. South Alabama
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged 9.5 yards after the catch this season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,682 yards on 272 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-9th-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s QBs has rushed for 491 yards on 97 carries (5.1 YPC) this season — T-9th-best among FBS teams. Texas State’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s QBs has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 11 games (266.6 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 11 games (266.6 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State have 266.6 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 253.7 receiving yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State’s QBs has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 11 games (266.6 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State WRs were targeted 7 times in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 11 games (266.6 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State RBs have fumbled 7 times this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Texas State WRs have 285 receptions in the 1st half since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged 9.5 yards after the catch this season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama WRs averaged 24.1 yards per reception (507 yards/21 catches) in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
South Alabama RBs have averaged 155.2 rushing yards per game (3,724/24) since the 2023 season– 18th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 126.0
South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,682 yards on 272 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-9th-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama WRs have averaged 14.8 receptions per game (163/11) this season– T-31st-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State allowed 8 TDs last week– T-2nd-most in FBS
Texas State has averaged 2.9 sacks per game since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 184 of 916 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (183 completions/330 attempts) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Texas State allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama has not recorded a sack (41 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4
South Alabama has not recorded a sack (41 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
South Alabama opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (61 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Bet now on South Alabama vs Texas State and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
