- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Athletics TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA
The Houston Astros (-150) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Astros are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 51-50 ATS.
Astros vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-7, 5.68 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris 1-3, 3.45 ERA
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | -150 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -105 | +125 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+18.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games at home (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 52-47 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 4.28% ROI).
- 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 39-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.05 Units / -21.24% ROI
- 57-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.3 Units / 13.07% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 51-50 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -6.06% ROI).
- 39-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.54% ROI
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Hogan Harris (OAK) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Spencer Arrighetti breaking pitch was June 26th. Hitters are 0 for their last 28 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 24 of 142 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .437 (142 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .321 — first Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .396 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hogan Harris has walked 9 of 37 batters (24%) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (195/882) against Hogan Harris since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Hogan Harris has walked 23 of 206 batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
33% of Hogan Harris’ strikeouts are looking since last season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 70-52 (.574) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 199-20 (.909) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Athletics are just 78-132 (.371) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics are just 12-26 (.316) after a road loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Athletics are just 92-182 (.336) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 825 strikeouts in 4,670 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,411/10,004 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,252/16,058 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,981 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .222 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.65 (1107.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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