Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 24

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 24, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Astros vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Astros / Athletics TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA

The Houston Astros (-165) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+140) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Astros are 22-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 24-28 ATS.

Astros vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 2-2, 4.01 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Ross Stripling 1-8, 5.20 ERA

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +100O 8 -105-165
Athletics +1.5 -120U 8 -130+140

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 23 games (+22.65 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+19.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+17.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+16.90 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+16.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 44 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+1.65 Units / 9% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 20-30 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -16.39% ROI).

  • 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -21.66% ROI
  • 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -16.94% ROI
  • 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 9.11% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-28 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -14.79% ROI).

  • 21-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -6.94% ROI

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jonathan Singleton (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Chas McCormick (HOU) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Verlander (HOU) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160
Ross Stripling (OAK) 3.5 +125 3.5 -165

Justin Verlander has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .550 (540 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 96th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 14% (5/36) against Justin Verlander this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .522 (12-for-23) against Ross Stripling on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .345 (41-for-119) against Ross Stripling’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .317 (69-for-218) against Ross Stripling this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .826 (19 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 110-73 (.601) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Astros are 92-63 (.594) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Astros are 155-22 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are 175-18 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Athletics are just 67-121 (.356) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Athletics are just 127-204 (.384) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Astros hitters have just 746 strikeouts in 4,235 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters are slugging .517 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .368.

Astros hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Astros hitters are slugging .458 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Athletics are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (6,803 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Athletics are batting just .213 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Astros pitchers have not walked any of the 55 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (3334.2 IP) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (896.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.