Astros vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Nov 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 02, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The are -105 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier, 1.35 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola, 4.56 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Houston Astros (-105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-115) on Wednesday, November 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 114-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +155O 7.5 -120-105
Phillies +1.5 -190U 7.5 +100-115

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s World Series matchup with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 62 games at home (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+13.60 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 91% ROI)

Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Bryce Harper 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Bryson Stott 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Bryce Harper 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Bryson Stott 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Bryce Harper 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Bryson Stott 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Nola 5.5 -160 5.5 +115
Cristian Javier 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 159 games (+29.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 97 of their last 170 games (+28.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 107 of their last 156 games (+25.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 153 games (+16.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 60 of their last 116 games (+6.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 126 games (+19.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.08 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 91-81 against the Run Line (+12.2 Units / 6.01% ROI).

  • 114-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.75 Units / 6.92% ROI
  • 63-98 when betting on the total runs Over for -43.55 Units / -23.1% ROI
  • 98-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.2 Units / 14.81% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).

  • 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
  • 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (27/129) against Cristian Javier on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (190/504) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 40% (104/263) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Cristian Javier’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (582/836) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 7 of 299 batters (2%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 30 of 832 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (2,174/3,140) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Astros are 6-42 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Astros are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Phillies are 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Phillies are batting .266 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .771 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (711.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,865 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .248 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Mark Appel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.