- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Athletics / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Athletics are 63-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-72 ATS.
Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 6-7, 4.50 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-7, 3.44 ERA
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | O 8 -105 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -120 | U 8 -115 | -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 away games (+21.90 Units / 100% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 21 games (+19.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+39.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+16.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+15.05 Units / 65% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 102 games (+6.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 127 games (+18.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 games (+16.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 79-66 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -0.63% ROI).
- 63-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.43% ROI
- 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.5% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-72 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 1.89% ROI).
- 77-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -5.11% ROI
- 58-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -19.97% ROI
- 82-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.75 Units / 11.1% ROI
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (80/343) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (34/162) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (46/181) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (41/148) against Joey Estes in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .117 (38-for-324) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (60/208) against Hunter Brown on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 15th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (10th highest among qualified SPs)– 82nd Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.8 MPH (417 batted balls) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Athletics are just 137-87 (.612) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 173-294 (.370) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 78-56 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Astros are just 10-22 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .228 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,556 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Athletics are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are slugging .485 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.45 (1276.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.6
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have walked 1,041 of 11,488 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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