- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Athletics / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA | MLBN
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Athletics are 64-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-73 ATS.
Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 7-9, 4.46 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 14-6, 2.97 ERA
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -110 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -110 | -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+20.90 Units / 91% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 22 games (+20.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+17.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 48 games (+38.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.35 Units / 50% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+17.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 80-66 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.1% ROI).
- 64-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.22% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-73 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.19% ROI).
- 77-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -6.17% ROI
- 59-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -19.2% ROI
- 82-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.6 Units / 10.31% ROI
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (182/299) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (182/299) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (147/299) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .562 (9-for-16) against Mitch Spence versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .556 (782 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (199 Total Bases / 703 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (252/414) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (273/632) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Athletics are just 138-87 (.613) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 29-80 (.266) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Astros are just 10-22 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-51 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Astros are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,556 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .294 (17,270 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 935 strikeouts in 5,146 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .484 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.43 (1285.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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